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The economists who began using statistics to analyze financial markets in the 1950s have been credited with revolutionizing the scholarship of investing and with inaugurating modern financial economics. By examining the work of economists who used statistics to analyze financial markets before 1950, Donald Stabile provides evidence about the forerunners of modern financial economics. In studying these predecessors, this innovative book reveals that, starting around 1900, there were economists in the United States who believed that changes in stock prices could be treated as a random variable to be analyzed with statistical methods, and who used early versions of the efficient markets theory to justify their belief. Although they did not call themselves Bayesians, the author explores how they adhered to a philosophy consistent with Bayesian statistics. A concluding epilogue considers the linkages between the forerunners of modern finance, its innovators and modern successors. An original work in the history of economic thought, Forerunners of Modern Financial Economics will be of great interest to both economists and historians interested in the development of statistical finance and economic thought, as well as to statisticians, financial analysts, and advanced undergraduate and graduate students studying financial economics.
Every experiment means a novelty. Going out to run for the first time may become the most recalled novelty of your life, just as the first time you put some new shoes or an experience you will never want to try out again. The difference consists in the day you used those new shoes that rubbed and marked you, with a terrible pain or that evening you won with it. And as the shoes, walking doesn't come with an instruction book. You learn it, memorize it and then you don't forget it. After it, you dare to run, or someone else pushes you to do it. There's always a first time for everything, and in many cases without any technical manual. This is how it's born the guide you have in your hands, as a collection of experiences that Juan Carlos Arjona has selected so that the first going out with sneakers and sports clothing becomes a long-lasting memory. With mistakes that you can avoid, the advice you have to follow, the recommendations that you must not forget and tricks to memorize. Through these 30 chapters, it shows you the most useful tips and the basics that will let you grow as a runner. Juan Carlos Arjona knows and understands the athletics world and he lets you know those strong points you need to keep in mind, so that it doesn't turn into weak points, such as the wound due to a new pair of shoes. As a trainer that knows well his business, he will lead you through a guide without bindings, nor disappointments. It's only needed that you have a motive, an excuse to let everything aside for a moment and go out to run, as it was the first time. But with the 30 lessons learned. If that first time was meaningful, a special strength, that must be your footwear of each day, with which you face your daily obstacles. Running will make you feel good, it will fulfill your routine. But do not forget that the Running has no limits, and if some day you forget the motive, this guide, with its lines about hydration, stretching, planning, running techniques, and so many other stuff, will bolster again your steps, and you will be able to go back to live to the full the runner you have inside.
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